The system has become slightly better organized in the past several hours, and its showers and thunderstorms have increased, according to the National Hurricane Center.
The Atlantic hurricane season lasts until November 30.
The National Weather Service is predicting an area of storms off the eastern coast of Mexico will organize and could become a named tropical or subtropical storm by Thursday night.
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Landfall is now forecasted to be somewhere along the Florida panhandle sometime Friday night or Saturday morning as a tropical storm.
It's expected to move northeastward from the Mexican coast toward the Big Bend area of Florida. The next name on the list is Nestor.
Tropical storm warnings have been issued from the Mississippi/Alabama border to the Ochlockonee River, Fla. and from Grand Isle, La.to the mouth of the Pearl River. This means we could see a tropical cyclone form over the northern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week. Systems that develop with the help of the jet stream often start out as subtropical depressions or storms because there is cold air aloft involved, in addition to the energy from the warm water of the Gulf.
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Then it could head toward the northern Gulf Coast and bring wind and rain to the area as soon as Friday or Saturday. A storm surge watch is in effect from Indian Pass to Clearwater, Fla.
As of early Thursday, the weekend forecast for Manatee County calls for rain chances to begin increasing by Friday, up to 50 percent throughout the day and evening.
A subtropical storm isn't a fully tropical system but has some of those features.
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